Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 60.667945 68.728574 77.042423 86.227471 96.060478 106.243043 117.556069
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 48.222635 59.656929 72.055531 86.372285 102.326302 119.445806 139.093093
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 40.782051 53.995809 68.871190 86.597351 106.898272 129.196293 155.318090
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 35.481365 49.945123 66.774370 87.370867 111.493416 138.485772 170.616199
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 30.346008 45.442424 63.589940 86.371112 113.610871 144.606694 182.027939
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 27.235759 43.066821 62.639493 87.735444 118.252247 153.443287 196.401773
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 24.776804 41.247083 62.147056 89.460684 123.170169 162.494376 210.953557
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 21.565106 38.103092 59.717695 88.564735 124.739994 167.460280 220.626716
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 18.284966 34.531535 56.461207 86.386397 124.538615 170.157126 227.494903
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 17.356151 34.219672 57.452255 89.593137 130.981931 180.838942 243.871129
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 16.208458 33.466910 57.761927 91.852025 136.199826 190.021794 258.464732
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 14.127184 31.088891 55.673061 90.819365 137.148340 193.915129 266.639016
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 12.182630 28.749062 53.521439 89.630454 137.871942 197.552399 274.573087
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 10.819951 27.217515 52.429885 89.803687 140.308951 203.296044 285.082945
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.617549 25.821068 51.435844 90.030676 142.757558 209.017187 295.546722
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.672267 24.771992 50.887659 90.823492 145.915652 215.613926 307.091170
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.426223 23.005597 49.122283 89.799365 146.584124 219.008095 314.634646
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.802285 22.363084 49.068472 91.196841 150.487611 226.524205 327.326881
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.303230 21.911841 49.284024 92.963697 154.884141 234.679161 340.840167
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.373399 20.423788 47.719969 92.046174 155.567896 238.017791 348.286025
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.345664 18.528014 45.345057 89.815031 154.360581 238.843388 352.513769
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.241150 18.774162 46.620852 93.099332 160.823954 249.693272 369.483459
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.003637 18.663437 47.262088 95.412217 165.937061 258.791994 384.254932